WHAT’S INCLUDED IN A HOME PURCHASE AGREEMENT

General Beata Gratton 18 Jul

WHAT’S INCLUDED IN A HOME PURCHASE AGREEMENT

While a home purchase agreement may seem simple and straight forward, there are many differences that you can encounter that can be a big surprise to first-time homebuyers. While you expect the date of possession and the full purchase price to be outlined in the agreement, there are items that you may not be aware should be included.

New builds vs existing homes

If you are buying a newly constructed home, there are quite a few differences between what you get in an existing home.
Legal fees – often home builders will include the legal fees in the purchase price. You should be aware that the law firm that will provide the service is the builder’s lawyer. Should a legal dispute develop, they will take the side of the builder and you will have to find your own independent legal counsel. In fact, if you can afford it, you should consider getting your own lawyer. The $1,200 savings could end up costing you more in the long run.
You should be aware that the show home that you have visited usually has numerous upgrades. I know that when I purchased my first new home I assumed that the bathroom rough-ins in the basement were standard, only to find out later that this was an upgrade. Retro fitting plumbing pipes is a costly venture.
You should also be aware that landscaping, fences and window coverings are not usually not included in the purchase price. Double check to see if the triple-pane windows on the show home are standard or an upgrade. Hardwood floors and basement development are usually an upgrade as well.

Existing homes

When you are buying an existing home, you will find that the window coverings, fences and landscaping are included in most cases. The window coverings should be included in the offer to purchase contract.
Something that may look like it’s supposed to be there but the seller may want to take with them is the hot tub and storage shed. Don’t assume that these items are included. The legal fees are never covered in an existing home sale.

Finally, from a mortgage standpoint, you should be aware that if you are purchasing an acreage or a large property with several outbuildings, your mortgage lender will cover the cost of the home plus one out building and up to three acres of land. If there’s a garage , barn and workshop usually the garage will be included in what the mortgage company will cover but not the smaller out buildings. Check with your Dominion Lending Centres mortgage professional before you make an offer on a property like this.

DAVID COOKE

FORECLOSURE, BANKRUPTCY, CONSUMER PROPOSAL & CREDIT COUNSELING

General Beata Gratton 17 Jul

FORECLOSURE, BANKRUPTCY, CONSUMER PROPOSAL & CREDIT COUNSELING

The Canadian Bankers Association’s latest reporton mortgage delinquency shows that Saskatchewan has the highest per capita of all the provinces. The national average shows that .24% of home owners are having difficulty paying their mortgage. Saskatchewan is more than triple that at .80% with next in line Atlantic Canada at .51% and then Alberta at .46%. At first glance these numbers seem relatively small until you note the fine print that “delinquency” in this report only represents those homeowners that are more than 3 months behind.

I thought that I would take the time to go over the mortgage ramifications of foreclosure, bankruptcy, consumer proposal and credit counseling.

Foreclosure
This is when the mortgage has gone unpaid to the point that the bank is forced to take back the security for the mortgage which is the home. First of all, the bank doesn’t want to have to do this. Non-payment of the mortgage for an extended period of time forces their hand. The foreclosure process is different in every province. Saskatchewan has the most difficult foreclosure process for the bank and gives the homeowner many chances to catch up and stop it. This process can take months to work through for the bank to take possession of the home to be able to sell it to recover their losses. The long-term effect on a client that goes through foreclosure is permanent. A record of the foreclosure is placed on each clients’ credit report. Unlike a bankruptcy or consumer proposal that are eventually removed, the foreclosure stays on their credit report for life. What that will mean is that when they want to eventually purchase a home again, they will more than likely require at least 20% down payment.

Bankruptcy & Consumer Proposal
Both bankruptcy and consumer proposal are administered through a licensed insolvency trustee. Typically, every creditor that you have debt with will participate in the process. This includes student loans and arrears with Canada Revenue Agency.
If you have gone through either of these insolvency actions, the mortgage industry sees them as them as the same thing. What is most important after either of those is to get back up on the credit horse and walk before you run. Canadians that swear off debt of any kind after insolvency are better known as lifelong renters. Never having a credit card or loan again is certainly fine until you apply for a mortgage to buy a home. Banks and mortgage lenders want to see that you can walk with small amounts of credit before running with hundreds of thousands in a mortgage. Once discharged from either a bankruptcy or consumer proposal obtaining a credit card should be your very first step. The next thing to do is advise both Canadian credit reporting agencies that you were discharged. You may be required to send documents related to the insolvency. It is a good idea to keep all your paper work from this process in a safe place for at least 10 years.

Credit Counseling
Credit counselling could be a viable option for those that are keeping up with their debt payments but need help in making a household budget to get out of debt faster. For those that have fallen behind on their debts and 1 or more have gone into collection status, credit counselling may not be the answer. There are 2 distinct differences between working with a credit counselor and a licensed insolvency trustee.
1. Student loans and debts to Canada Revenue Agency cannot be addressed within credit counseling.
2. If the credit counseling requires debt negotiations and/or payment arrangements, some of your creditors may decline to participate. This leaves debts outside of the credit counseling arrangement that you must address on your own. It’s a little like having 2 flat tires on your car and only 1 spare. The spare may work well to fix one flat but your car still isn’t roadworthy.

KEVIN CARLSON

Mortgage Growth Slows, Alt-Lender Share Grows: CMHC

General Beata Gratton 17 Jul

Mortgage Growth Slows, Alt-Lender Share Grows: CMHC

Canada’s mortgage market grew by its slowest pace in more than 25 years in 2018, according to new data released by the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation.

At the same time, the share of the market controlled by alternative lenders—which typically lend to riskier clients and charge higher interest rates—grew from the previous year.

“This decline in new mortgage activity is due to a combination of factors, including tighter underwriting criteria and non-underwriting criteria, increased borrowing costs, modest economic conditions and to some extent changes in behavioural factors, which resulted in softer housing demand in some major centres in Canada such as Toronto and Vancouver,” reads CMHC’s inaugural Residential Mortgage Industry Report.

The data shows new mortgages for the purchase of property were down 19% in 2018 compared to the previous year and that refinances were down 12%.

The report also found renewals with the same lender were up 16% compared to the previous year and now account for 41% of all mortgages.

“…the approval rate for same-lender renewals remained stable at approximately 99%, showing almost all renewal applications are approved,” the report said. “Renewals are not specifically subject to the new stress test and are more likely to meet current lender criteria.”

The report failed to mention, however, that renewals with other lenders (switches) are subject to the stress test rules, which likely had an impact on the higher lender retention rates.

alternative lender market share increasesUse of Alternative Lenders Increasing

The data also showed an increase in market share for alternative lenders, which rose to 1% of the Canadian mortgage market.

That translates into $1314 billion worth of outstanding mortgages held by between 200 and 300 active alternative lenders, CMHC said. That’s up from $1112 billion in 2017 and $810 billion in 2016.

The report also pointed out that while alternative lenders operate across the country, they are more concentrated in Ontario and B.C., with the far majority (78%) operating in Toronto and Vancouver.

Comparatively, Mortgage Investment Corporations (MICs) held 1% of outstanding mortgages, mortgage finance companies held 6%, credit unions held 14%, and federally regulated financial institutions (which includes banks), held the remaining 78% of outstanding mortgages.

Rise in Uninsured Mortgages

CMHC reported that more Canadians are taking uninsured mortgages, with their share rising to 35% in 2018 from 29% in 2016. At the same time, the share of insured mortgages has dropped to 41% in 2019 from 57% in 2015.

“The increasing shift to uninsured mortgages is partly a result of lenders and borrowers adjusting to regulatory changes, notably the 2016 stress testing for high-ratio mortgages, as well as changing economic conditions,” CMHC noted. “Homebuyers must meet stricter conditions in order to qualify for mortgage insurance. Changes to the portfolio insurance program have also impacted the relative size of the insured mortgage space.”

Other Key Stats

The report contained a treasure trove of additional data. Here are some of the highlights:

  • $488,699: The average home price in 2018
    • Down 4.1% from the previous year

Interest Rates

  • 3.30%: The average 5-year fixed rate secured in 2018
    • 29.2%: The share of new mortgages that were 5-year fixeds
  • 3.15%: The average variable rate secured in 2018
    • 27.6%: The share of new mortgages that were 5-year variables (this increased to 29% as of the first quarter of 2019)
    • 44%: The share of overall mortgages that were 5-year variables (well above any other point in the past five years)
  • 29 bps: The discount on variable rates vs. 5-year fixed rates originated at the same period (2018)
    • In 2016, the rates for 5-year fixed and 5-year variables were practically the same. Similarly, as of February 2019 the discount narrowed again to just 2 bps.
  • “The larger discount offered on variable rates in 2018 partly reflected both expectations of rising interest rates and increasing efforts to attract new borrowers as the housing market began to slow down,” CMHC noted.

Mortgage Default Insurance

  • 42%: Percentage of mortgages that were insured as of Q1 2019
    • Of these, 58% were high ratio, 9% were low ratio and 33% were portfolio insured

Share of Loan-to-Value

  • 65% or less LTV: 49% of residential mortgages
  • 65.0175% LTV: 19%
  • 75.0180% LTV: 16%
  • 80.0185% LTV: 4%
  • 85.0190% LTV: 4%
  • 90.0195% LTV: 8%

Mortgage Values at Origination

  • 35%: Percentage of uninsured mortgage originations with values of $500,000 and over (2016)
  • 34%: Percentage of mortgage originations with values of $250,000 or less (2016)
    • Now 28% in 2019

WHAT IS A MORTGAGE “REFINANCE” AND HOW DOES IT AFFECT ME?

General Beata Gratton 17 Jul

WHAT IS A MORTGAGE “REFINANCE” AND HOW DOES IT AFFECT ME?

Refinancing a Home is one of those things where people understand what it is but have trouble explaining How it works. To put it simply, refinancing your Home allows you to access the equity you have built up, by changing the mortgage amount.

Let’s say you bought a $300,000 condo and you paid 20% ($60,000) as your down payment and had a mortgage of $240,000. Over the next 4 years, you continue making payments to pay down the $240,000 you owed and now that amount is only $230,000. Your mortgage is up for renewal in one year however, you want to do some renovations and you need to access the equity in your Home—this is where a refinance could come into play.

What this means is you will get an appraisal, or in simpler terms an evaluation, of your current Home and submit that information to a lender. Let’s say your $300,000 condo is now worth $350,000 and you owe $230,000. You have built up an additional $60,000 in equity ($350,000 – $230,000 owing – $60,000 initial down payment= $60,000). You have a mortgage of $230,000 on a Home worth $350,000, therefore your equity in the Home is $120,000.

To access that $120,000, you can refinance your mortgage. So let’s say you want to go back and take $50,000 from the $120,000 you have built up. Your new mortgage would go from $230,000 to $280,000, and that $50,000 will be transferred from the lender to you. You are essentially borrowing money from the lender while also adding money back on top of your mortgage.

This is why people will refinance their Home to make larger purchases. The bank will lend you the money now and get it back in the future, plus interest, because it is being added to the mortgage.

This is just one way people are able to use their Home to access cash. Other ways people can do this, especially if they are looking to complete renovations, is through home equity, lines of credit, collateral charges and purchase plus mortgages.

Knowing this information before you buy can be extremely beneficial. That is why it is important to work with a qualified HomeHow mortgage specialist. Contact a Dominion Lending Centres mortgage professional today for more questions about refinancing!

CHRIS CABEL

JUNE HOME SALES STOPPED DETERIORATING IN THREE WESTERN PROVINCES

General Beata Gratton 15 Jul

JUNE HOME SALES STOPPED DETERIORATING IN THREE WESTERN PROVINCES

Statistics released late last week by the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) show that national home sales were little changed in June following gains in the prior three months. Housing activity remains well below levels recorded over much of 2015-2017–the boom years. As the chart below shows, national sales have moved up to close to their 10-year average and are up nearly 10% from the six-year low touched in February of this year.

Underlying the flat national sales performance, was an even split between the number of local markets that posted sales gains and losses. More considerable monthly increases were generally focused in Quebec and Southern Ontario. They were offset by declines in Greater Vancouver, Calgary, Halifax-Dartmouth and the province of Newfoundland and Labrador.

Year-over-year, sales edged up 0.3%, with gains in Greater Toronto and Montreal offsetting declines in BC. According to Gregory Klump, CREA’s Chief Economist, “There’s a growing divergence in Canadian housing market trends between eastern and western Canada. While sales activity in Canada’s three westernmost provinces appears to have stopped deteriorating, it will be sometime before supply and demand there become better balanced, and the outlook for home prices improves.”

New Listings
The number of newly listed homes edged up 0.8% in June. Stable sales and a slight increase in new listings caused the national sales-to-new listings ratio to ease marginally to 57.1% in June from 57.7% posted in May. This measure remains within close reach of its long-term average of 53.5%. Based on a comparison of the sales-to-new listings ratio with the long-term average, over 80% of all local markets were in balanced market territory in last month, the largest share in more three years.

The number of months of inventory has swollen far beyond long-term averages in the Prairie provinces and Newfoundland & Labrador, giving homebuyers an ample choice in these regions. By contrast, the measure remains well below long-term averages in Ontario and the Maritime provinces, resulting in increased competition among buyers for listings and fertile ground for price gains.

Home Prices
Although the seasonally adjusted Aggregate Composite MLS® Home Price Index rose 0.3% in June from the month before, it was still running 1.1% below the peak reached in December 2018. The overall trend has remained stable since March amid divergent regional trends. Seasonally adjusted MLS® HPI readings in June were up from the previous month in 9 of the 18 markets tracked by the index, with virtually all of the gains recorded in housing markets east of the Prairie region.

Prices were flat on a month-over-month basis on Vancouver Island and in Calgary, Edmonton, Regina, Saskatoon and Moncton. Material declines were limited to the GVA (-1.3%), the Fraser Valley (0.8%) and the Okanagan Valley (-0.5%). (see Table below)

By contrast, monthly gains were posted in Barrie (+1.4%), Hamilton (+1.3%), Niagara (+1.2%), Guelph (+1.1%), Ottawa (+0.7%), Greater Montreal (+0.7%), the GTA (+0.6%) and Oakville (0.3%).

The actual (not seasonally adjusted) Aggregate Composite MLS® Home Price Index edged down by -0.3% y/y in June 2019. For the second month in a row, all benchmark property categories tracked by the index posted y/y declines.

On a national basis, two-storey single-family home prices were little changed from last June, edging back 0.1%. By comparison, one-storey single-family home prices posted the most substantial y/y decline (-0.8%) among benchmark property categories. Meanwhile, townhouse/row prices were down by 0.7% y/y and apartment unit prices edged back by 0.4%.

Year-over-year trends continue to vary widely across the country, with the central theme being a growing divergence in trends between eastern and western Canada.

Results remain mixed in British Columbia, with prices down on a y/y basis in Greater Vancouver (-9.6%), the Fraser Valley (-6.6%) and the Okanagan Valley (-0.8%). Meanwhile, prices edged up 0.5% in Victoria and climbed 4.2% elsewhere on Vancouver Island.

Among Greater Golden Horseshoe housing markets tracked by the index, MLS® HPI benchmark home prices were up from year-ago levels in Guelph (+6.8%), the Niagara Region (+6.7%), Hamilton-Burlington (+5.4%), the GTA (+3.6%) and Oakville-Milton (+3%). By contrast, home prices in Barrie held below year-ago levels (-2.4%).

Across the Prairies, supply remains historically elevated relative to sales and home prices remain below year-ago levels. Benchmark prices were down by 3.9% in Calgary, 3.2% in Edmonton, 4% in Regina and 1.1% in Saskatoon. The home pricing environment will likely remain weak in these cities until demand and supply return to better balance.

Home prices rose 8.3% y/y in Ottawa (led by a 13.2% increase in townhouse/row unit prices), 6.7% in
Greater Montreal (driven by an 8% increase in condo apartment unit prices), and 1.3% in Greater Moncton (led by an 18.4% increase in condo apartment unit prices).

Bottom Line: The Bank of Canada is getting its predicted rebound in economic activity in the current quarter and believes growth will accelerate further in Q4 and 2020. That should keep the Bank on the sidelines for some time. Currently, the markets are expecting the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates later this month and to continue to do so in 2020. Indeed, President Trump is lobbying hard for rate cuts.
It is unlikely that the Bank of Canada will follow the Fed unless the trade war with China worsens. The White House has succumbed to political pressure to reduce trade tensions. Trade uncertainty is the only thing right now that would derail the Canadian recovery.

DR. SHERRY COOPER

 

National Home Sales Flatten Out in June: CREA

General Beata Gratton 15 Jul

National Home Sales Flatten Out in June: CREA

The national housing market appears to be taking a breath after three consecutive months of improvement, according to the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA). The June data reveals sales, prices and listings remained flat both on a monthly and annual basis.

Overall, home sales edged up just 0.3% from the same time in 2018 and slipped 0.2% from May’s activity. That’s up 10% from the six-year low recorded in February, but still below the market’s climb between 2015 and 2017.

The number of newly listed homes edged slightly higher than sales by 0.8%, which eased buying conditions somewhat for buyers, with a sales-to-new-listings ratio of 57.1%well within balanced territory. That’s resulted in fairly flat price growth, with the national average up by just 1.7% to $505,000 (though closer to $400,000 when excluding the Greater Vancouver and Greater Toronto markets). The national Home Price Index, which measures the overall value of homes sold, fell by 0.3% from 2018, though rose by the same amount from May.

All home types saw their benchmark values fall for the second month in a row; two-storey single-family homes saw values slip -0.1%, while one-storey single-family homes dropped the most, by -0.8%. Townhouse and rowhouse prices were down -0.7%, while apartmentstypically the strongest-performing housing segmentsaw values dip by -0.4%.

Home Sales and Price Growth Uneven Across Canada

As has been the developing trend, sales activity has been lopsided across the country; some markets are experiencing a searing pace, while others remain in a supply-demand slump. Conditions remain slow in several major urban centres including Greater Vancouver, Calgary and Halifax-Dartmouth, though this has largely been offset by strong performance in Quebec and Southern Ontario markets.

“There’s a growing divergence in Canadian housing market trends between eastern and western Canada,” stated Gregory Klump, CREA’s chief economist. “While sales activity in Canada’s three westernmost provinces appears to have stopped deteriorating, it will be some time before supply and demand there becomes better balanced and the outlook for home prices improves.”

A Mix of Buyers’ and Sellers’ Markets

CREA finds 80% of all local housing markets to be considered balanced, and that the level of national inventory sits at five monthsthe lowest since January 2018, but still well aligned with the long-term average of 5.3 months.

However, as is the case with uneven sales, supply remains widely inconsistent in markets across the country, well above typical levels in B.C. and the Prairie markets. However, it’s the opposite scenario in Ontario and the Maritimes where scant available listings are putting the squeeze on buyers and driving average home prices higher.

Check out the infographic below to see how home prices performed in major Canadian markets in June:

Crea home price report for june 2019

PENELOPE GRAHAM

SHOULD YOU PAY DOWN YOUR MORTGAGE ASAP?

General Beata Gratton 15 Jul

SHOULD YOU PAY DOWN YOUR MORTGAGE ASAP?

One of the top questions we get asked: Should I pay down my mortgage as fast as possible? In theory, this makes sense. The faster you pay it down, the faster you get out of debt, right? For many people that is the case and it does make sense often times to take this route. After all—your home is truly an asset and can be used as an investment piece itself!

However, in certain situations, there are some cases where paying off your mortgage right away doesn’t make sense. Every person’s circumstances are different, and, in many cases, it DOES make sense to pay down your mortgage when you have funds available.

We cannot emphasize enough that there are numerous factors to consider before paying down any sizable debt (your mortgage included). Each person must make the choice that is right for them and consult with professionals who can help them make the right choice based on their current circumstances. With that in mind, today, we are going to highlight some considerations as to why you may consider not paying down mortgage:

You have a super low mortgage Rate
If you locked in at a great rate and have low interest on your mortgage, take advantage of it! Pay it back as you can but do not feel pressure to go above and beyond your monthly mortgage payment if it is not an option for you. We would advise in this instance, to speak with your financial planner or accountant to find out what your strategy is for debt repayment.

Having a solid plan can help set you up for future success and help you focus on paying down debts that have the highest interest amount first, thereby lowering the overall debt load you are carrying and paying out each month. We can definitely recommend some fantastic accountants and financial planners if you are on the lookout for one!

The Property is a rental or investment property or houses a home-based business
This may be a consideration for some people as a portion of the interest (on rental properties and homes with home offices) are tax deductibles. In these cases, aggressive payback could have a downside in relation to your tax right offs.

Again, this is an instance where an accountant’s guidance can direct you towards the best option. For some, the tax break is significant and for the circumstances, it makes sense to keep the payments as they are. For others, it would make more sense to increase the payment as the interest is minimal Talk to a professional to get the best advice on this particular area and consider all your options.

You have a better investment opportunity
If you have an opportunity that will give you a higher return on your investment, consider taking that avenue vs. paying down your mortgage. For example, if you put $100,000 into your 3.00% mortgage, you save $3,000 next year but if you made a 5% return on that $100,000 instead, you could put that $3,000 towards your mortgage next year and still have $2,000 left over.

With that said, there are many instances when an investment may seem excellent on paper, but in reality, is not ideal. Always seek advice from a professional first before making a financial decision.

These are just 3 examples of times it doesn’t make sense to pay down your mortgage right away. Ultimately though, you should consider what choice will be the right one for you. There are many instances where paying down your mortgage does make sense. As a Dominion Lending Centres mortgage broker, we are here to inform you of every option available to you and advise you on what we feel is the best course of action. We can work with you and your financial advisors/accountants to determine when and if paying down your mortgage is a good option for you—but at the end of the day, the decision is yours!

GEOFF LEE

5 WAYS YOU COULD USE A CHIP REVERSE MORTGAGE

General Beata Gratton 12 Jul

5 WAYS YOU COULD USE A CHIP REVERSE MORTGAGE

Reverse mortgages are continuing to grow as a retirement solution for Canadians 55+. Homeowners 55+ are unlocking their home equity for tax-free funds that improve their cashflow and pay-off higher interest loans. Consider your own financial needs. Do any of these 5 common scenarios sound familiar?

1) You have missed a payment/made a late payment.
Credit card payments can become a vicious cycle; you make monthly interest payments and elongate the process of chipping away at that debt. Alleviate the stress of credit card debt by consolidating smaller loans with a reverse mortgage at a much lower interest rate. By consolidating your debt with a reverse mortgage, you can eliminate the stress of having to make monthly payments towards your loan and in turn, free up your monthly income.

2) You have asked to skip a payment or are accessing your investments earlier than you’d like.
If your debt has led to missing payments or touching your RRIF or retirement accounts, consider using a reverse mortgage to unlock up to 55% of your home equity. This way you can pay off debts while your investments keep working for you.

3) You want to start crossing things off your bucket list, yet can’t afford to.
Maybe your dream is to purchase a second home like a cottage, take a vacation, or even just dine out or attend the theatre regularly. A reverse mortgage can improve your retirement lifestyle by supplementing your monthly income without affecting your OAS and pension.

4) You want to financially assist your aging parents/kids/grandkids.
As the sandwich generation, you’re caring both for kids and aging parents. That can place huge financial stress on a household. A reverse mortgage can give both you and your aging parents financial independence and the ability to help your kids/grandkids pay for their education or even assist with a down payment for their home.

5) You are facing unexpected expenses.
Maybe it’s a leaky roof or a flood in your basement. Or you might have to renovate your home, allowing you to stay in your home long term. A reverse mortgage gives you quick access funds to pay for unplanned expenses without worrying about making any payments until you move or decide to sell your home.

If any of the above examples resonate with you, the CHIP Reverse Mortgage from HomeEquity Bank could be a great solution. Choose to receive funds as a lump sum or a monthly advance, depending on your needs. Your DLC Mortgage Broker can tell you more!

ERIC BISAILLON

Bank of Canada Holds Rates Amid Heightened Trade Tensions

General Beata Gratton 11 Jul

Bank of Canada Holds Rates Amid Heightened Trade Tensions

Canada’s key lending rate remained unchanged for the sixth straight meeting today, with the Bank of Canada saying the country’s outlook is “clouded” by trade uncertainty.

The overnight target rate remains at 1.75%, where it has been since October 2018 when rates last fell 25 bps.

“Recent data show the Canadian economy is returning to potential growth. However, the outlook is clouded by persistent trade tensions,” reads the bank’s press release. “Taken together, the degree of accommodation being provided by the current policy interest rate remains appropriate.”

With global financial conditions easing, the BoC lowered its 2019 global growth forecast to 3% from 3.2%. In Canada, the bank said it looks like second-quarter growth will come in higher than expected (with a forecast of 2.3% vs. 1.3% previously), resulting in real GDP growth for 2019 of 1.3% and around 2% in 2020 and 2021.

Housing Market Has Evolved “As Expected”

canadian housing marketOn housing, the BoC statement said the housing market is stabilizing nationally, “although there are still significant adjustments underway in some regions.” It added that a “material decline” in longer-term mortgage rates is also supporting housing activity.

During a press conference that followed the morning rate decision, BoC Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn Wilkins said the housing market has “evolved as expected at the national level.”

She noted there are signs the housing market in the Greater Toronto Area is improving, while home prices in B.C. continue to move to “more sustainable levels.” In Alberta, Wilkins said the market is continuing to adjust to lower oil prices.

Trade is the Wildcard

The BoC made clear that growing global trade conflicts, including between the U.S. and China, and geopolitical tensions pose the greatest threat to global economic stability.

Combined, these global risks are expected to cut Canada’s GDP by as much as 2% in 2021, said Wilkins.

Poloz cautioned that should a worst-case scenario play out on the trade front, there are limits to how monetary policy can be used to counter its effects.

“The bond market is telling us there’s a preoccupation with downside risks that could bring rates down substantially,” he said. “Understanding the shock is important. We shouldn’t go into this assuming that central banks can somehow fix this if this is what occurs.”

Will the Bank of Canada Eventually Cut Rates?

Bank of Canada governor Stephen PolozDespite growing rate cut expectations in recent months and indications that the U.S. is about to embark on monetary policy easing, Poloz gave no such signals on this side of the border.

The BoC Governor noted there are sufficient headwinds in the economy combined with positive economic data to keep rates where they are. “Until such time as those headwinds worsen or dissipate, then we are content with today’s setting of interest rates,” he said.

A reporter asked Poloz if he’d consider a precautionary, or “insurance,” rate cut given that trade risks are “unbalanced.”

Poloz replied that it’s technically not possible to balance risk around trade threats, noting it would come down to the odds of positive or negative outcomes. “I’m not comfortable making up probabilities like that,” he said.

He conceded that if the bank believed the risks were unbalanced, the forecast would “tilt differently.” That would “change inflation expectations and open up discussion to appropriate rate response,” he said.

A Dovish Tone

Overall, the bank’s policy statement was “more dovish than expected,” according to Josh Nye, senior economist at RBC Economics Research.

“The BoC didn’t move explicitly to an easing bias (unlike the Fed and ECB) but sounded more concerned about ‘persistent trade tensions’ that are clouding the outlook,” he noted. “Poloz and Co. still don’t appear to be in any rush to lower rates alongside the Fed…but markets seem justified in thinking the BoC’s next move is more likely to be down than up.”

The Federal Reserve is now overwhelmingly expected to cut rates by 25 bps at its next meeting on July 31.

In Canada, OIS swap markets are pricing in a 44% chance of a rate cut by the end of the year and a 65% chance within the next nine months.

CONDO HOME INSURANCE

General Beata Gratton 11 Jul

CONDO HOME INSURANCE

First thing I would like to say about home insurance- this is not what we specialize in. We are experts when it comes to brokering mortgages, not determining what type of home insurance would be best suited for you. That being said, there are 3 key topics we would like people to be aware of when it comes to home insurance on condos.

Building Coverage Versus Unit Coverage

First, the strata or condo insurance that your condo building has in place protects the building as a whole, not your individual unit. Any damage caused by your unit or a neighboring unit is most likely going to need to come through your own personal home insurance coverage and is not covered by the strata’s. Water leaks being a big one, as well as home damage by a guest or visitor, robbery or theft.

Deductibles

Second, your strata buildings insurance usually has a deductible. This deductible can sometimes be 10’s of thousands of dollars and you will need to pay that in order to have your portion of the strata insurance kick in. This usually happens when their is a catastrophic fire, earthquake, or massive damage to the strata building itself. Deductibles can be a big blow to any savings you may or may not have and a lot of personal home insurance polices will cover that entire deductible.

Injury and Renters

If you have tenants, frequent guest, or long term visitors, you need personal home insurance. If someone injures themselves inside of your condo unit and you are found to be negligent, they have the ability to sue you and the buildings strata insurance will not cover personal injury claims.

When we review documents with a client, we also recommend that our clients reach out to someone who can offer home insurance. It is a free conversation that helps clients fully understand any potential risks that may come from them owning their new home. Home insurance is an inexpensive way to help protect you and your home, to find out more information feel free to reach out to a Dominion Lending Centres mortgage professional near you.

RYAN OAKE